This flashcard explains the 'what if' or speculative fallacy, which involves making poorly supported claims about what might have happened in the past or will happen in the future if circumstances were different, treating future hypothetical situations as facts. Examples are provided, and an exception for general predictions in 'either/or' situations is noted.
Esta tarjeta de memoria explica la falacia "what if" o falacia especulativa, que consiste en hacer afirmaciones poco fundamentadas sobre lo que podría haber sucedido en el pasado o sucederá en el futuro si las circunstancias fueran diferentes, tratando las situaciones hipotéticas futuras como hechos. Se proporcionan ejemplos y se señala una excepción para las predicciones generales en situaciones de "esto o aquello".
| Fallacy | what if, speculative fallacy. counterfactual fallacy |
|---|---|
| Definition and Examples | Description: Offering a poorly supported claim about what might have happened in the past or future, if (the hypothetical part) circumstances or conditions were different. The fallacy also entails treating future hypothetical situations as if they are fact. Logical Form: If event X did happen, then event Y would have happened. (based only on speculation) Example #1: If you took that course on CD player repair right out of high school, you would be doing well and gainfully employed right now. Explanation: This is speculation at best, not founded on evidence, and is unfalsifiable. There are many people with far more useful talents who are unemployed, and those who are "gainfully" employed and not doing well at all. Example #2: John, if you would have taken a shower more often, you would still be dating Tina. Explanation: Past hypotheticals that are stated as fact are most often nothing more than one possible outcome of many. One cannot ignore probabilities when making these kinds of statements. Perhaps Tina likes the smell of man sweat. Perhaps Tina would have still preferred Renaldo over John despite John's personal hygiene because of Renaldo's enormous intellect. Exception: In either/or situations, general predictions can obviously be made without fallacy: If you didn’t flip heads on the coin, it would have been tails |
Tags: fallacies
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